Read our New Zealand vs India Prediction for the 4th ODI on November 13. Can the Black Caps bounce back at Bay Oval or will India extend their lead?
The fourth ODI of the series takes place on Friday, November 13, as New Zealand seeks to halt India's momentum at Bay Oval. This New Zealand vs India Prediction examines the tactical shifts required for the hosts to stay competitive in this five-match series.
India enters this fourth ODI with a commanding series lead, having secured back-to-back victories in the previous encounters. For New Zealand, the challenge is to reverse a trend that has seen them drop the last two ODIs against this opposition.
Bay Oval provides a picturesque setting for this pivotal clash. As the series progresses, the pitch conditions and the ability of the pace bowlers to utilize the breeze will be central to the outcome. New Zealand needs a complete team performance to challenge an Indian side that has looked comfortable in the current conditions.
| New Zealand | LLWWL | 2 of 5 won |
|---|---|---|
| India | WWLWL | 3 of 5 won |
Last five completed international matches, most recent first.
India holds the edge with three wins in their last five matches across all formats. New Zealand has struggled for rhythm, managing only two wins in their last five outings.
Last 10 completed meetings, all formats · ODI: 0–2
Forecast for Mount Maunganui at the scheduled start (rain: highest chance during play).
The forecast for Mount Maunganui indicates pleasant conditions with a temperature around 22°C and 0% chance of rain, favoring a full day of uninterrupted play.
Pro Ace form model: starts at 50–50, then +4 points per extra win in the last five matches, +3 per extra win in the last five meetings and +6 for playing at home; capped at 25–75%. A guide, not a certainty.
Watch for how the New Zealand top order handles the new ball, as early wickets have been a recurring theme in their recent losses.
This is the fourth match of a five-ODI series, critical for New Zealand to maintain any hope of a series comeback.
India has demonstrated superior consistency in the current ODI format, managing to edge out the hosts even in tight, weather-affected contests. New Zealand's batting lineup has struggled to convert starts into match-winning totals, while India's bowlers have remained disciplined under pressure. With the series on the line, the hosts must find a way to dismantle the Indian middle order early, as their recent head-to-head record shows India winning seven of the last ten meetings across all formats.
Winning the toss and batting first is often considered a standard approach at this venue to set a target in stable, dry conditions.
Our pick for this contest is India. Given their recent form and the momentum from winning the last two ODIs, they appear better equipped to handle the pressure. While New Zealand will benefit from home conditions, India's ability to close out tight games gives them the edge in our 51% to 49% model forecast.
With India in the driving seat, Friday's match is a must-win for New Zealand. Supporters can expect a tactical battle as the hosts look to exploit home advantages to keep the series alive.
The match is scheduled for Friday, November 13, 2026.
The match will be played at the Bay Oval in Mount Maunganui.
This is the fourth match of a five-match ODI series.
You can find our detailed New Zealand vs India Prediction right here on our site.
The match is crucial for New Zealand to avoid a series loss, as India currently leads the ODI series.
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